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Pizza Money Picks UFC 274

Here are some bets for this weekend for that pizza money!

Cerrone vs. Lauzon

Cerrone in his career has won 2 out of 3 fights at similar odds of -180 . (Range -170 to -190) In his career, Lauzon has won 1 out of 5 fights at similar odds of 155 . (Range 175 to 135) Lightweights priced between 175 to 135 are 2-8 in the last 10 fights.(Joe Lauzon) I like Cerrone winning this fight. Wins at similar odds before and Joe does not terrible at these odds.

Cortez vs. Gatto

Historically, the fight has a 80.0% chance it goes the entire 3 rounds.
Odds are -190 for their fight to go the distance.
However, breaking with historical data, oddsmakers believe the fight has a 66.0% chance it goes the entire 3 rounds.
Out of a combine 5 fights, the fighters have reached a decision only 4 time. This recent 80% distance rate is tempting when books are only pricing distance at ~66% to win. I like this fight going the distance for about 14% edge.

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